With European markets closed, all eyes are on the U.S. – Market Overview

With European markets closed, all eyes are on the U.S. – Market Overview

Investors are looking forward to the U.S.' market opening after the NFP figures for March were released on Friday, showing the most significant increase since last August: 916k.

Some analysts had predicted such a result, but it still was well above the average market predictions. The unemployment rate also fell to 6%, with only the average hourly earnings failing to impress after dropping -0.1%.

Elsewhere in the bonds market.

The U.S. bond yields increased slightly to 1.72%, with the market starting to doubt that the Fed will maintain its decision not to change the monetary policy until after 2023. The markets anticipate the first interest rate hike by the end of next year. On the other hand, the asset purchase program could start as early as the end of this year, according to experts.

Under these circumstances, it could be challenging for the Federal Reserve to maintain its commitment if the employment figures continue at this upbeat pace in the coming months.

In a market that is practically closed these days, the reaction to such a positive employment figure has been minimal.

The U.S. Dollar has strengthened slightly against the euro and the Japanese yen. Against the GBP, it experienced some weakness today due to the strength of the British currency itself. Boris Johnson's announcement that the economy will gradually reopen after a long lockdown period has pushed the pound higher. The rate of administration of vaccines, well above Europe’s, anticipated a return to normality in the United Kingdom and an increased growth prognosis.

This is being reflected primarily in the price of EUR/GBP that accelerated its downward rhythm. Technically, it does not find greater support until the 0.8320 zone, minimum levels reached in February 2020.

The stock markets also had a positive movement last Friday, and the market expects that today they will continue on this upward path. Still, the U.S. treasury bonds need to be analyzed. If the yields on these bonds continue to rise, they could halt the bullish stock market.

The USA30 futures reached a new all-time high near the 33230 area and technically did not show any signs of exhaustion in the RSI oscillators.

Sources: Bloomberg, Reuters.com.

Maklumat/penyelidikan ini disediakan oleh Miguel Ruiz (“tpenganalisis penyelidikan”) dan tidak mengambil kira objektif pelaburan tertentu, keadaan kewangan atau keperluan khusus individu. Penganalisis penyelidikan bertanggungjawab terhadap kandungan laporan penyelidikan ini, samada sebahagian atau keseluruhannya, memperakui bahawa pandangan mengenai syarikat dan sekuriti mereka yang dinyatakan dalam laporan ini jelas mencerminkan pandangan peribadi dan pedagang bertanggungjawab sepenuhnya ke atas risiko mereka sendiri.

Penyelidikan yang disediakan bukanlah pandangan JME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd ataupun undangan untuk melabur dengan JME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd. Penganalisis penyelidikan juga memperakui bahawa tiada sebahagian daripada pampasannya, adalah, atau akan, secara langsung atau tidak langsung, berkaitan dengan cadangan atau pandangan tertentu yang dinyatakan dalam laporan ini.

Sehingga tarikh laporan diterbitkan, penganalisis penyelidikan dan pasangannya dan/atau saudara-mara yang bergantung kepada penganalisis penyelidikan, tidak memegang kepentingan dalam sekuriti yang dicadangkan dalam laporan ini (“kepentingan” termasuk pemilikan langsung atau tidak langsung terhadap sekuriti).

Penganalisis penyelidikan tersebut bukanlah di bawah JME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd. Anda digalakkan mendapatkan nasihat daripada penasihat kewangan bebas mengenai kesesuaian pelaburan, di bawah penglibatan berasingan, seperti yang anda anggap sesuai dengan objektif pelaburan tertentu anda, keadaan kewangan atau keperluan kewangan tertentu sebelum membuat komitmen untuk melabur.

Undang-undang Republik Afrika Selatan akan mengawal sebarang tuntutan yang berkaitan dengan atau yang timbul daripada kandungan maklumat/ penyelidikan yang disediakan.

JME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd, beroperasi sebagai ZA.CAPEX.COM, bertindak sebagai perantara antara pelabur dan Magnasale Trading Ltd, rakan kontrak untuk perbezaan yang dibeli oleh pelabur melalui ZA.CAPEX.COM, yang diberi kuasa dan dikawal selia oleh Cyprus Securities. dan Suruhanjaya Pertukaran dengan nombor lesen 264/15. Magnasale Trading Ltd adalah prinsip utama CFD yang dibeli oleh pelabur.