President Biden presents his $2 trillion infrastructure plan, the U.S. Dollar surges – Market Overview

President Biden presents his $2 trillion infrastructure plan, the U.S. Dollar surges – Market Overview

This colossal investment brings further stimulus to the United States economy after the $1.9 trillion fiscal stimulus package approval from last month.

The U.S. economy already shows signs of a strong recovery, as its aggressive vaccination program resulted in the reopening of the country's economy.

Wednesday's ADP report showed that U.S. private payroll increased by 517,000 jobs last month. This may be a good indication of the Non-Farm Payrolls report, which is expected to show another increase of around 650,000 for March.

However, the pressure on U.S. Treasury bonds continues, with the yield for the 10-year bond still above 1.70%.

We’re still in a market characterized by a substantial drop in activity due to the holiday period. At the moment, this appears to be translating into narrow-range movements in most assets, with many of them motivated by requirements for portfolio adjustments that are not based on fundamental reasons.

Elsewhere in the world.

According to new reports, the Japanese investment funds have been the most active in their sales flow, coinciding with the end of the fiscal period in March.

But the U.S. Dollar does continue with its upward trend against most of its peers, supported by the increase in long-term interest rates and the high expectations regarding a speedy recovery of the North American economy due to the special stimulus measures.

The best performing Dollar-related pair could be USD/JPY. After a downtrend that began in early 2020, the pair has broken all resistances in a short period and finds itself in an uptrend targeting the 112.30 area.

This pair has a high positive correlation with the U.S. bond yields, so the market’s forecasts could reveal a continuation of the upward trend.

In the case of the Australian dollar that we reviewed yesterday, it has weakened slightly, pressured by increasing tensions between the United States and China. A report released yesterday accused the Asian giant of making it difficult for American digital companies to export and accused it of unfair competition, threatening new sanctions. It is foreseeable that China will respond with restrictive measures to the countries around the United States. In this case, one of the most affected would be Australia.

The AUD/USD pair fell yesterday following these announcements, technically validating the Head & Shoulder formation pointing towards its theoretical target of 0.7270.

Sources: Bloomberg, reuters.com.

Maklumat/penyelidikan ini disediakan oleh Miguel Ruiz (“tpenganalisis penyelidikan”) dan tidak mengambil kira objektif pelaburan tertentu, keadaan kewangan atau keperluan khusus individu. Penganalisis penyelidikan bertanggungjawab terhadap kandungan laporan penyelidikan ini, samada sebahagian atau keseluruhannya, memperakui bahawa pandangan mengenai syarikat dan sekuriti mereka yang dinyatakan dalam laporan ini jelas mencerminkan pandangan peribadi dan pedagang bertanggungjawab sepenuhnya ke atas risiko mereka sendiri.

Penyelidikan yang disediakan bukanlah pandangan JME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd ataupun undangan untuk melabur dengan JME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd. Penganalisis penyelidikan juga memperakui bahawa tiada sebahagian daripada pampasannya, adalah, atau akan, secara langsung atau tidak langsung, berkaitan dengan cadangan atau pandangan tertentu yang dinyatakan dalam laporan ini.

Sehingga tarikh laporan diterbitkan, penganalisis penyelidikan dan pasangannya dan/atau saudara-mara yang bergantung kepada penganalisis penyelidikan, tidak memegang kepentingan dalam sekuriti yang dicadangkan dalam laporan ini (“kepentingan” termasuk pemilikan langsung atau tidak langsung terhadap sekuriti).

Penganalisis penyelidikan tersebut bukanlah di bawah JME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd. Anda digalakkan mendapatkan nasihat daripada penasihat kewangan bebas mengenai kesesuaian pelaburan, di bawah penglibatan berasingan, seperti yang anda anggap sesuai dengan objektif pelaburan tertentu anda, keadaan kewangan atau keperluan kewangan tertentu sebelum membuat komitmen untuk melabur.

Undang-undang Republik Afrika Selatan akan mengawal sebarang tuntutan yang berkaitan dengan atau yang timbul daripada kandungan maklumat/ penyelidikan yang disediakan.

JME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd, beroperasi sebagai ZA.CAPEX.COM, bertindak sebagai perantara antara pelabur dan Magnasale Trading Ltd, rakan kontrak untuk perbezaan yang dibeli oleh pelabur melalui ZA.CAPEX.COM, yang diberi kuasa dan dikawal selia oleh Cyprus Securities. dan Suruhanjaya Pertukaran dengan nombor lesen 264/15. Magnasale Trading Ltd adalah prinsip utama CFD yang dibeli oleh pelabur.