Jerome Powell speaks to the Wall Street Journal, the markets react instantly – Market Overview

Jerome Powell speaks to the Wall Street Journal, the markets react instantly   – Market Overview

The Fed Head’s WSJ interview generated plenty of interest in the markets. However, the Fed chairman made no mention of a potential rebound in long-term interest rates.

Unlike other central banks such as Japan, which maintains a YCC (yield curve control) policy to avoid the adverse effects on the economy or the European Central Bank, which announced that it could increase its asset purchase policy, the Federal Reserve doesn't seem preoccupied with this issue.

After the interview, the immediate result in the market was a fall in long-term bonds, leading to a rise in yields. In the case of the 10-year bond, Tnote, the price returned to the minimum levels reached on February 26, with a yield that again touched the 1.55% zone, practically going back to the levels before those recorded before the interest rate cut as a result of the pandemic crisis.

The stock markets remain under pressure amid increased risk aversion among investors. In some cases, such as the Tech100, indices broke down the reversal pattern, which, if it remains at a weekly close today, would point to trend changes with a theoretical target of 11,468.

On March 15, the Senate is expected to approve the 1.9 trillion-dollar fiscal stimulus package. However, this plan might negatively impact stock indices since financial aid might contribute to a rise in inflation expectations, leading to higher interest rates.

From now on, all the market's attention will be on the Federal Reserve establishing a YCC (yield curve control) policy, something that had been discussed on previous occasions but was never implemented. The Federal Reserve's next meeting, scheduled for March 17, will therefore be awaited with great interest. The implementation of this measure would help stop the movement that we are currently witnessing in the market.

In the currency market, the U.S Dollar experienced a significant upward momentum with the increases in long-term interest rates pushing all its counterpart currencies further down.

EUR/USD is trading below the 1.1950 level, and from a technical point of view, a close below this zone would pave the way for further losses to the price concentration zone around 1.1820.

Sources: WSJ, Investing.com.

Maklumat/penyelidikan ini disediakan oleh Miguel Ruiz (“tpenganalisis penyelidikan”) dan tidak mengambil kira objektif pelaburan tertentu, keadaan kewangan atau keperluan khusus individu. Penganalisis penyelidikan bertanggungjawab terhadap kandungan laporan penyelidikan ini, samada sebahagian atau keseluruhannya, memperakui bahawa pandangan mengenai syarikat dan sekuriti mereka yang dinyatakan dalam laporan ini jelas mencerminkan pandangan peribadi dan pedagang bertanggungjawab sepenuhnya ke atas risiko mereka sendiri.

Penyelidikan yang disediakan bukanlah pandangan JME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd ataupun undangan untuk melabur dengan JME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd. Penganalisis penyelidikan juga memperakui bahawa tiada sebahagian daripada pampasannya, adalah, atau akan, secara langsung atau tidak langsung, berkaitan dengan cadangan atau pandangan tertentu yang dinyatakan dalam laporan ini.

Sehingga tarikh laporan diterbitkan, penganalisis penyelidikan dan pasangannya dan/atau saudara-mara yang bergantung kepada penganalisis penyelidikan, tidak memegang kepentingan dalam sekuriti yang dicadangkan dalam laporan ini (“kepentingan” termasuk pemilikan langsung atau tidak langsung terhadap sekuriti).

Penganalisis penyelidikan tersebut bukanlah di bawah JME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd. Anda digalakkan mendapatkan nasihat daripada penasihat kewangan bebas mengenai kesesuaian pelaburan, di bawah penglibatan berasingan, seperti yang anda anggap sesuai dengan objektif pelaburan tertentu anda, keadaan kewangan atau keperluan kewangan tertentu sebelum membuat komitmen untuk melabur.

Undang-undang Republik Afrika Selatan akan mengawal sebarang tuntutan yang berkaitan dengan atau yang timbul daripada kandungan maklumat/ penyelidikan yang disediakan.

JME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd, beroperasi sebagai ZA.CAPEX.COM, bertindak sebagai perantara antara pelabur dan Magnasale Trading Ltd, rakan kontrak untuk perbezaan yang dibeli oleh pelabur melalui ZA.CAPEX.COM, yang diberi kuasa dan dikawal selia oleh Cyprus Securities. dan Suruhanjaya Pertukaran dengan nombor lesen 264/15. Magnasale Trading Ltd adalah prinsip utama CFD yang dibeli oleh pelabur.