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EUR/USD Price Reverses Direction on the US Stimulus Package Updates

EUR/USD Price Reverses Direction on the US Stimulus Package Updates

Safe-havens rallied on the news coming from Washington while equities and risk-related currencies retreated. What moves markets today?

Equities

On Tuesday President Trump made a U-turn and instructed its administration to stop negotiating until after the elections and he promised that after “his victory” he would pass a major stimulus bill that focused on hardworking Americans and small businesses. However, Trump urged the US Congress to approve a $25 billion bailout to aviation companies. Meanwhile, the Fed Chair Powell warned that failure to secure financial aid would lead to a weak economic recovery and create unnecessary hardships.

These updates negatively affected investor’s sentiment sending global stock markets lower and safe havens higher.

Stock Market

Change %

S&P 500

-1.3%

Dow Jones

-1.2%

NASDQ

-1.5%

Japan 225

-0.5%

DAX 30

-0.4%

FTSE 100

-0.8%

CAC 40

-0.5%


Currencies

The US Dollar as a safe-haven benefited from the recent updates and rallied on Tuesday against risk-related currencies. The US Dollar index steadied above the inverted head and shoulders neckline therefore, a close above 94.04 could send the price towards 95.24.

The EUR/USD failed on Tuesday to overtake the 50-day average then pointed lower for a test of 1.1713. A daily close below this level could send the pair towards 1.1621.

The GBP/USD tested the 1.3000 level then lost 0.8% of its value due to the US dollar rally. The price could drop further towards 1.2773.


Commodities

The oil price benefited from the news of a possible storm in the Mexico Gulf that could put oil production on hold however, the rally lost steam on the news of delaying the US stimulus package. The Brent oil, failed to close above $42.50 hinting to re-test $39.60, while the US Crude failed to overtake the 50-day moving average, and therefore the price could fall towards $38.37.

The Gold price rebounded from $1.920 and pointed lower eyeing a test of $1,861. A daily close below that level could send the precious metal even lower towards $1,796.

Looking Ahead

Investors will follow the ECB president Lagarde’s speech at 1:10 PM (GMT) and Fed member Barkin's speech at 6:00 PM, then at 3:30 PM markets will find out about the change in the US oil inventories, and by 7:00 PM the FOMC minute will be released. Fed members Williams, Kashkari will talk at 8:00 PM, and 6:00 respectively.


Maklumat/penyelidikan ini disediakan oleh Mahmoud Alkudsi dan tidak mengambil kira objektif pelaburan tertentu, keadaan kewangan atau keperluan khusus individu. Penganalisis penyelidikan bertanggungjawab terhadap kandungan laporan penyelidikan ini, samada sebahagian atau keseluruhannya, memperakui bahawa pandangan mengenai syarikat dan sekuriti mereka yang dinyatakan dalam laporan ini jelas mencerminkan pandangan peribadi dan pedagang bertanggungjawab sepenuhnya ke atas risiko mereka sendiri.

Penyelidikan yang disediakan bukanlah pandangan JME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd ataupun undangan untuk melabur dengan JME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd. Penganalisis penyelidikan juga memperakui bahawa tiada sebahagian daripada pampasannya, adalah, atau akan, secara langsung atau tidak langsung, berkaitan dengan cadangan atau pandangan tertentu yang dinyatakan dalam laporan ini.

Sehingga tarikh laporan diterbitkan, penganalisis penyelidikan dan pasangannya dan/atau saudara-mara yang bergantung kepada penganalisis penyelidikan, tidak memegang kepentingan dalam sekuriti yang dicadangkan dalam laporan ini (“kepentingan” termasuk pemilikan langsung atau tidak langsung terhadap sekuriti).

Penganalisis penyelidikan tersebut bukanlah di bawah JME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd. Anda digalakkan mendapatkan nasihat daripada penasihat kewangan bebas mengenai kesesuaian pelaburan, di bawah penglibatan berasingan, seperti yang anda anggap sesuai dengan objektif pelaburan tertentu anda, keadaan kewangan atau keperluan kewangan tertentu sebelum membuat komitmen untuk melabur.

Undang-undang Republik Afrika Selatan akan mengawal sebarang tuntutan yang berkaitan dengan atau yang timbul daripada kandungan maklumat/ penyelidikan yang disediakan.