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EUR/USD and Gold Fall as The US Dollar Price Extends Gains

EUR/USD and Gold Fall as The US Dollar Price Extends Gains

Equity markets fall, the US dollar extends gains Gold retreats further, what moves the indices, FX, and commodities markets today?

Equities

Global stock markets returned to flash in the red due to serious concerns over the global economic recovery. The released PMI data on Wednesday showed weakness in the services sector in Germany and the UK caused by the recent surge in coronavirus cases, while the Fed vice president Mr. Clarida stated that the US remains in a deep hole of unemployment and reiterated on the importance of the more fiscal stimulus.

ByteDance has taken another step to end the TikTok drama in the US, as applied for a tech export license in China. However, it is not clear what kind of deal it will be or if there would be any deal amid to conflictive statements from both sides. The deal needs approval from both China and the United States, while Chinese state media doubted that the deal could be approved as it was based on extortion.

Stock Market

Change %

S&P 500

-2.6%

Dow Jones

-2.4%

NASDQ

-3.3%

Japan 225

-0.1%

DAX 30

-1.5%

FTSE 100

-0.8%

CAC 40

-1.3%


Currencies

Risk related currency assets retreated against the US Dollar as the rising numbers of the Coronavirus in Europe and the UK sparked worries about a new severe lockdown in Europe and the UK.

The US Dollar index has risen on Thursday to a nine-week high at 94.54 and may continue its rally towards 95.50 after breaking the neckline of an inverted head and shoulders pattern on Tuesday.

The EUR/USD broke below the 1.1700 threshold for the first time since early August as a result, the pair’s outlook changed to negative and therefore could fall towards 1.1500 levels.

GBP/USD retreated further on the back of a strong US dollar. The pair tested on Wednesday its lowest levels in two-months and rallied after as some bears seemed to cover. Investors continue monitoring the EU/UK negotiations as the Oct 15 deadline is nearing.

Commodities

The coronavirus concerns weighed on the oil price as some countries in Europe could be heading to a new total lockdown and this would affect the global oil demand.

Brent oil failed on Wednesday to close above 42.50 hence the price could point lower for a test of 39.60, while the US Crude may fall towards 38.37.

This week the Gold price changed its technical outlook to negative and fell on Thursday to a nine-week low at $1,848. Bears could press towards $1,796.

Looking Ahead

Markets eyes will be on the US initial jobless claims at 1:30 PM (GMT), then at 3:00 PM markets will listen to the Bank of England’s speech and the US Fed chair testimony before the US Congress then the Fed members Evans and Williams speak at 3:00 PM and 7:00 PM respectively.


Maklumat/penyelidikan ini disediakan oleh Mahmoud Alkudsi dan tidak mengambil kira objektif pelaburan tertentu, keadaan kewangan atau keperluan khusus individu. Penganalisis penyelidikan bertanggungjawab terhadap kandungan laporan penyelidikan ini, samada sebahagian atau keseluruhannya, memperakui bahawa pandangan mengenai syarikat dan sekuriti mereka yang dinyatakan dalam laporan ini jelas mencerminkan pandangan peribadi dan pedagang bertanggungjawab sepenuhnya ke atas risiko mereka sendiri.

Penyelidikan yang disediakan bukanlah pandangan JME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd ataupun undangan untuk melabur dengan JME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd. Penganalisis penyelidikan juga memperakui bahawa tiada sebahagian daripada pampasannya, adalah, atau akan, secara langsung atau tidak langsung, berkaitan dengan cadangan atau pandangan tertentu yang dinyatakan dalam laporan ini.

Sehingga tarikh laporan diterbitkan, penganalisis penyelidikan dan pasangannya dan/atau saudara-mara yang bergantung kepada penganalisis penyelidikan, tidak memegang kepentingan dalam sekuriti yang dicadangkan dalam laporan ini (“kepentingan” termasuk pemilikan langsung atau tidak langsung terhadap sekuriti).

Penganalisis penyelidikan tersebut bukanlah di bawah JME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd. Anda digalakkan mendapatkan nasihat daripada penasihat kewangan bebas mengenai kesesuaian pelaburan, di bawah penglibatan berasingan, seperti yang anda anggap sesuai dengan objektif pelaburan tertentu anda, keadaan kewangan atau keperluan kewangan tertentu sebelum membuat komitmen untuk melabur.

Undang-undang Republik Afrika Selatan akan mengawal sebarang tuntutan yang berkaitan dengan atau yang timbul daripada kandungan maklumat/ penyelidikan yang disediakan.