The U.S. Dollar plunges, now everything depends on stocks - Market Overview

The U.S. Dollar plunges, now everything depends on stocks - Market Overview

The Greenback reached a 3-week low, following a continuous decline after bond yields corrected and Fed decided to keep interest rates low.

As we can see in the graph of the dollar index, the U.S. Dollar has reached the base of the upward trend line that has been trading in since the beginning of the year. This result appears to be due to market expectations surrounding a potential rise in interest rates, leading to a significant rebound for U.S. Treasury Bonds Yields.

But the correction of yields from their high levels due to the decline in inflation expectations, coupled with the Fed's decision to keep interest rates low, pushed the Dollar lower. The improvement in risk sentiment among investors also had a meaningful contribution.

From a technical analysis perspective, the latest trend looks bullish and is immediately delimited by the rising trend line currently passing through the 90.60 area.

The Dollar’s future will most likely depend on the performance of the stock markets: bullish movements caused by greater risk appetite could drag the Dollar down, while bearish signs could provide support for it. Additionally, any news from the Federal Reserve regarding upcoming interest rate hikes or a reduction in the asset purchase program could support the American currency.

The current movement of the Dollar is reflected in its price against all its pairs.

In the case of the Australian Dollar, AUD/USD has corrected upwards, reaching a resistance zone located at 0.7822, above which the potential reversal pattern with a theoretical objective of 0.7180 would be undone.

The Australian Dollar, positively correlated with the economic cycle, is typically affected by the performance of the stock markets and commodities. A reversal pattern might form if the stock exchanges fall, dragging commodities with them.

Sources: investing.com, Bloomberg.

This information/research prepared by Miguel Ruiz (“the research analyst”) does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views and consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

The research provided does not constitute the views of JME Financial Services (Pty)Ltd nor is it an invitation to invest with JME Financial Services (Pty)Ltd. The research analyst also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly, or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.

As of the date the report is published, the research analyst and his/her spouse and/or relatives who are financially dependent on the research analyst, do not hold interests in the securities recommended in this report (“interest” includes direct or indirect ownership of securities).

The research analyst in not employed by JME Financial Services (Pty)Ltd. You are encouraged to seek advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit that conforms to your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular financial needs before making a commitment to invest.

The laws of the Republic of South Africa shall govern any claim relating to or arising from the contents of the information/ research provided.

JME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd trading as ZA.CAPEX.COM acts as intermediary between the investor and Magnasale Trading Ltd, the counterparty to the contract for difference purchased by the Investor via ZA.CAPEX.COM, authorised & regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission with license number 264/15. Magnasale Trading Ltd is the principal to the CFD purchased by investors