The latest Fed and ECB statements move the currency market - Market Overview

The latest Fed and ECB statements move the currency market  -  Market Overview

Over the weekend, the Fed head has once again assured that the ultra-expansive monetary policy will be maintained as long as necessary to achieve full employment.

However, this time around, Powell has recognized that the economy could be a turning point towards a robust growth driven by all the stimulus measures, both fiscal and monetary, that have been implemented during the pandemic crisis. Although he did not take it for granted, he stated that it would not be desirable to experience high inflation periods. Although the Fed continues its determination to keep rates low indefinitely, Powell's comment has some hawkish bias.

This has not been enough to boost U.S. Treasury yields, which are practically unchanged from the previous close. Still, it has caused, albeit marginally, the U.S. Dollar to strengthen against the Euro.

In this case, the ECB President's comments also contributed to the downward correction of the EUR/USD pair and, in general, of the Euro against all its peers. Contrary to what other central bank members said, Lagarde, stated that they are willing to intensify asset purchases if there are spikes in long-term bond yields or if the European economy shows signs of delay in its recovery. Such a fact is being anticipated due to the worrying increases in virus infection cases in almost all European countries and the mobility restriction measures implemented.

The pair, which has failed to overcome the 1.1930 resistance, resumes its previous bearish path. It now appears to be struggling with the 100-hour SMA located at 1.1880, slightly above the 1.1860 support level, below which a reversal pattern would be activated with a technical objective in the 1.1790 zone.

The Euro has also weakened against the pound after a technical upward correction. The rationale for the pound and against the Euro is very similar to the case for the dollar.

And technically, the EUR/GBP pair has partially corrected the previous bearish momentum without breaking above the 0.8676 resistance zone and is still in a downtrend, with the RSI indicators recovering from the previous oversold zones on the daily chart.

Sources: Investing.com, Bloomberg.

This information/research prepared by Miguel Ruiz (“the research analyst”) does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views and consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

The research provided does not constitute the views of JME Financial Services (Pty)Ltd nor is it an invitation to invest with JME Financial Services (Pty)Ltd. The research analyst also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly, or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.

As of the date the report is published, the research analyst and his/her spouse and/or relatives who are financially dependent on the research analyst, do not hold interests in the securities recommended in this report (“interest” includes direct or indirect ownership of securities).

The research analyst in not employed by JME Financial Services (Pty)Ltd. You are encouraged to seek advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit that conforms to your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular financial needs before making a commitment to invest.

The laws of the Republic of South Africa shall govern any claim relating to or arising from the contents of the information/ research provided.

JME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd trading as ZA.CAPEX.COM acts as intermediary between the investor and Magnasale Trading Ltd, the counterparty to the contract for difference purchased by the Investor via ZA.CAPEX.COM, authorised & regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission with license number 264/15. Magnasale Trading Ltd is the principal to the CFD purchased by investors