No clear conclusion for the latest ECB meeting – Market Overview

No clear conclusion for the latest ECB meeting – Market Overview

Yesterday's meeting of the European Central Bank did not have a definitive result.

After leaving monetary policy unchanged just like the markets had predicted, President Christine Lagarde confirmed that the asset purchase program's pace would be increased to curb a potential rise in long-term bond yields. This comment led to a slight decline in the Euro's price from the high levels it had previously reached.

But in a report released later, it was revealed that the increase in these asset purchases was significantly lower than what the markets had expected. In turn, they interpreted it as a lack of determination from the central bank, leading to the Euro's rise.

U.S Bonds – latest news.

After two days of calm during which the 3, 5 and 30-year U.S. bond auctions have been carried out without significant surprises, yields rebounded again strongly.

Tnote10 fell sharply to the lowest levels in the past few days, managing to exceed the yield of 1.60% slightly.

This return to uncertainty in the market has brought an increase in risk aversion after a few days of tranquillity caused by the fiscal stimulus package's approval and positive inflation data.

But investors don't seem ready to revert to previous enthusiasm levels so quickly. Fears regarding inflationary spikes and the increase in public debt in the United States could require greater support from the Federal Reserve if they want to stop the outflows currently taking place in the U.S. markets, potentially reaching Europe.

Banks such as Societe Generale and Deutsche Bank forecast an increase in the yield of the 10-year bond to levels above 2% by the end of this year.

The U.S. stock futures started the day with substantial losses, and the European ones are also in the red, with the U.S. Dollar resuming its upward path against all pairs.

EUR/USD reversed the move from the highs near 1.1990, trading slightly above the 100 hourly SMA line, currently at 1.1909. Below this level, it could work its way down to lows around 1.1860.

Sources: Investing.com, ForexLive.com.

This information/research prepared by Miguel Ruiz (“the research analyst”) does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. The research analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views and consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

The research provided does not constitute the views of JME Financial Services (Pty)Ltd nor is it an invitation to invest with JME Financial Services (Pty)Ltd. The research analyst also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly, or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.

As of the date the report is published, the research analyst and his/her spouse and/or relatives who are financially dependent on the research analyst, do not hold interests in the securities recommended in this report (“interest” includes direct or indirect ownership of securities).

The research analyst in not employed by JME Financial Services (Pty)Ltd. You are encouraged to seek advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit that conforms to your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular financial needs before making a commitment to invest.

The laws of the Republic of South Africa shall govern any claim relating to or arising from the contents of the information/ research provided.

JME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd trading as ZA.CAPEX.COM acts as intermediary between the investor and Magnasale Trading Ltd, the counterparty to the contract for difference purchased by the Investor via ZA.CAPEX.COM, authorised & regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission with license number 264/15. Magnasale Trading Ltd is the principal to the CFD purchased by investors