The Purchasing Managers’ Index data published yesterday in Europe, the United Kingdom and the United States revealed a slowing momentum for the economic recovery.
Although figures remain at high levels, with Manufacturing PMIs hitting 61.2 in the U.S, 61.5 in Europe, and 60.1 in the U.K, the growth rate is slowing down. However, this could be somewhat expected, given the enormous boost seen in recent months following fiscal stimulus policies and expansionary monetary policies.
But these economic figures had little impact on the market. The investors’ attention was focused on the Delta variant and the Federal Reserve's decisions regarding the tapering process.
The previous week was dominated by uncertainty surrounding the pandemic, due to many Asian countries, as well as Australia and New Zealand implementing restrictions measures and national lockdowns. This situation triggered a shift in market sentiment towards greater risk aversion, threatening corrections in stock indices and leading to declines in the Forex market. However, delta concerns faded almost overnight, the market turned around, and the dollar weakened.
After breaking the important level of 1.1700 during the past week, the EUR/USD pair could not consolidate this movement and bounced above this area. From a technical analysis point of view, the trend is still bearish, encountering a resistance level in the 1.1750 area, above which it would reach the main level located at 1.1800.
U.S. Stock Indices.
The North American stock indices performed well, recording increases of above 1%, especially the Tech100. The recovery of this index appeared to be attributed to Fed’s most recent announcement about the tapering process.
After the U.S. Central bank announced the meeting would take place virtually, many analysts saw this as a sign of concern about the pandemic. They concluded it would be difficult for the Fed to announce a withdrawal of stimuli during this meeting. The technology index would be, in principle, the most affected by an increase in interest rates, and therefore reacted very positively to the news.
Sources: Bloomberg, reuters.com.
The research provided does not constitute the views of JME Financial Services (Pty)Ltd nor is it an invitation to invest with JME Financial Services (Pty)Ltd. The research analyst also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly, or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
As of the date the report is published, the research analyst and his/her spouse and/or relatives who are financially dependent on the research analyst, do not hold interests in the securities recommended in this report (“interest” includes direct or indirect ownership of securities).
The research analyst in not employed by JME Financial Services (Pty)Ltd. You are encouraged to seek advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit that conforms to your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular financial needs before making a commitment to invest.
The laws of the Republic of South Africa shall govern any claim relating to or arising from the contents of the information/ research provided.
JME Financial Services (Pty) Ltd trading as ZA.CAPEX.COM acts as intermediary between the investor and Magnasale Trading Ltd, the counterparty to the contract for difference purchased by the Investor via ZA.CAPEX.COM, authorised & regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission with license number 264/15. Magnasale Trading Ltd is the principal to the CFD purchased by investors